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2024-12-13 04:54:47
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Interpretation of Guangfa Strategy December Politburo Meeting: The change of policy tone "not seen for several years" is more direct to the determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market. Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting said that although the draft of the meeting did not involve specific economic target figures, the change of policy tone was "not seen for several years": (1) "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" appeared for the first time in the draft of the conference, and we understand that this may well mean that the official target of deficit ratio will be unconventional. (2) "Moderately loose monetary policy" has reappeared since July 2010, and it has been "steady" during the period. Even in the 14-15 monetary easing cycle, there was no adjustment of this wording, which paved the way for the expectation of monetary easing in 25 years; (3) The "more active fiscal policy" has reappeared since July 2020. Under the special background of the 20-year epidemic, the official target of deficit ratio in that year was set at 3.6%, which was the highest since 2010. The change of tone after four years also indicates that the deficit space in 25 years is expected to be further opened. Specific to economic work, the first priority is to "expand domestic demand", and the expression of "stabilize the property market and stock market" is more straightforward: the importance of expanding domestic demand is unquestionable, which alleviates the concern of "whether to only resolve risks and lack demand stimulation" in the early stage of the market; In September, the Politburo meeting stated that the stock market should strive to boost the capital market and the property market should "promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize". This meeting was more direct in its determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market.Turkish Foreign Minister: Turkey will continue to help Syrian refugees return to their homes "safely and voluntarily". Turkish Foreign Minister Feidan said on the 9th that Turkey will continue to make efforts to help Syrian refugees it receives return to their homes "safely and voluntarily". On the same day, Feidan said at the meeting of Turkish diplomatic envoys abroad that Turkey is willing to provide support for Syria's reconstruction. "We have always advocated ensuring peace and stability in Syria through international consensus." Feidan stressed that the extremist organization "Islamic State" and the terrorist organization PKK must not benefit from the turmoil in Syria.Societe Generale predicts that the S&P 500 will reach 6750 by the end of 2025.


The Bank of England plans to further provide liquidity through key repurchase tools, and the Bank of England plans to provide more liquidity to banks at a lower price to cope with the possible cash shortage in the British financial system in the future. On December 9th, the Bank of England said that it would increase the available reserve in the auction of indexed long-term repo (ILTR) from 25 billion to at least 30 billion pounds (about 38 billion US dollars). It is planned to provide more reserves at a lower "initial pricing level" and adjust the price for obtaining more reserves. These suggestions were made in a consulting report released on Monday, just before Dave Ramsden, vice governor, made a speech on financial stability. The Bank of England said it expects these adjustments to be implemented in the second quarter of 2025.Pre-market news of U.S. stocks: ① Stock index futures of U.S. stocks fell slightly before the market closed on Monday, global stock markets remained stable, and investors digested geopolitical turmoil. ② As of press time, Dow futures fell 0.07%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.11%, and Nasdaq futures fell 0.15%. (3) Germany's DAX index fell by 0.10%, Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.26%, France's CAC40 index rose by 0.34%, and Europe's Stoxx 50 index fell by 0.02%. ④WTI crude oil rose 1.21% to $68.01/barrel. Brent crude oil rose 1.00% to $71.83/barrel. ⑤ The next test of the financial market is the US consumer price report on Wednesday, which will provide the Fed policymakers with a final observation of the inflation environment before the last meeting this year. The core data is expected to remain at 3.3% in November, which should not hinder the interest rate cut. 6. Analysts of Wall Street banks have basically published their annual forecasts. Their average forecast is that the S&P 500 index will rise by about 10%, which is in line with the historical average. 7 Tesla's share price rose more than 2% before the market, approaching a record high, and the sales growth target for next year is 20-30%. Today, NVIDIA's pre-market diving fell by more than 2%, and the General Administration of Market Supervision decided to file an investigation according to law. Pet-name ruby ultra-micro computers rose more than 12% before trading, and the request for delaying the submission of financial reports was approved by Nasdaq.Turkish Foreign Minister: Turkey will continue to help Syrian refugees return to their homes "safely and voluntarily". Turkish Foreign Minister Feidan said on the 9th that Turkey will continue to make efforts to help Syrian refugees it receives return to their homes "safely and voluntarily". On the same day, Feidan said at the meeting of Turkish diplomatic envoys abroad that Turkey is willing to provide support for Syria's reconstruction. "We have always advocated ensuring peace and stability in Syria through international consensus." Feidan stressed that the extremist organization "Islamic State" and the terrorist organization PKK must not benefit from the turmoil in Syria.


Chinese stocks and ETF US stocks soared at the beginning of the session, with many houses rising by more than 74%, shells rising by more than 13%, and Weilai and Xpeng Motors rising by more than 11%; China ETF rose more than 22%, China overseas Internet ETF rose more than 9%, and China large-cap ETF rose more than 7%.COMEX gold futures hit $2,700 per ounce, up 1.52% in the day.Igor: It is planned to raise 300-500 million yuan from the controlling shareholder. Igor announced on the evening of December 9 that it plans to raise 300-500 million yuan from the controlling shareholder McGonagall. After deducting the relevant issuance expenses, all the net funds raised will be used to supplement the working capital.

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